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U.S. Department of Transportation U.S. Department of Transportation Icon United States Department of Transportation United States Department of Transportation
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OFFICE OF RESEARCH, DEVELOPMENT, AND TECHNOLOGY AT THE TURNER-FAIRBANK HIGHWAY RESEARCH CENTER

Trajectory Investigation for Enhanced Microsimulation Calibration Guidance

Project Information

Project ID:
FHWA-PROJ-18-0011
Project Abstract:

Traffic engineers and researchers calibrate microsimulation models using macroscopic inputs—such as aggregated traffic throughput—instead of microscopic inputs, such as intervehicle spacing and acceleration. This has led to concerns that these models have been capturing the microscopic driver behaviors inaccurately, despite the macroscopic performance measures’ apparent goodness of fit.

Given the recent improvements to data collection and data processing technologies, particularly concerning drone or unmanned aerial vehicle technologies and cost reductions, there is renewed interest in trajectory-based calibration for microsimulation models. Researchers behind this project developed a new methodology for trajectory-based calibration, and they tested this methodology against traditional calibration at real-world urban freeway locations: I−270 in Maryland; I−15 in California; I−75 in Florida; and I−95 in Virginia.

The results provided evidence that traditional calibration indeed cannot be trusted to produce realistic vehicle trajectories. Moreover, explicit integration of trajectories into the calibration process can remedy this. Calibrated model results were most impressive at I–75, which is the only site where trajectories were collected by a helicopter (instead of by drones), producing 1.2-milong trajectories. This report and accompanying software scripts provide instructions and lessons learned for collecting, cleaning, post-processing, correcting, and validating trajectory data. The report and scripts also provide instructions and lessons learned for trajectory-based calibration and validation.

Future applications of the proposed methodology may involve studying the importance of car-following versus lane-changing, calibrating separate driver models for different congestion regimes, and calibrating the trajectories of connected and automated vehicles.

Project Status:
Completed
Project Funding Amount (Contract Award Amount):
$366,784.46
Start Date:
End Date:
Public Access Plan:
No
Grant/Contract ID:
  • 693JJ318F000252
FHWA Program Area:
  • Operations
Fiscal Year / AMRP Program / AMRP Activity:
  • FY 2002-2022 / Operations / Transportation Systems Management and Operations

AMRP = Annual Modal Research Plan

Contact Information

Management Organizations

Performing Organization

Organization:
Leidos
Contact Role:
Principal Investigator